Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.108702 0.120633 0.132914 0.146472 0.160993 0.176048 0.192809
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.089640 0.107467 0.126797 0.149183 0.174262 0.201365 0.232739
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.079711 0.102136 0.127541 0.158130 0.193639 0.233245 0.280437
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.072132 0.098048 0.128552 0.166512 0.211883 0.263792 0.327068
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.062710 0.090353 0.124118 0.167463 0.220685 0.282986 0.360477
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.053241 0.081380 0.117045 0.164233 0.223675 0.294759 0.384824
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.049133 0.078814 0.117568 0.170074 0.237529 0.319510 0.424827
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.044932 0.075600 0.116820 0.173946 0.248709 0.340943 0.460941
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.040776 0.071969 0.115114 0.176237 0.257653 0.359523 0.493630
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.036678 0.067972 0.112522 0.177016 0.264407 0.375241 0.522792
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.036534 0.069862 0.118184 0.189091 0.286191 0.410364 0.576796
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033552 0.067049 0.116866 0.191335 0.294783 0.428550 0.609472
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030801 0.064536 0.116080 0.194633 0.305374 0.450200 0.647880
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027535 0.060873 0.113367 0.195077 0.312117 0.467040 0.680561
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026719 0.061304 0.116893 0.204661 0.331713 0.501230 0.736350
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025949 0.061719 0.120357 0.214193 0.351380 0.535779 0.793043
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023478 0.058757 0.118203 0.215108 0.358701 0.553646 0.827768
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020339 0.054155 0.113045 0.211151 0.358812 0.561587 0.849285
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019469 0.053860 0.114966 0.218096 0.374757 0.591342 0.900241
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018267 0.052759 0.115423 0.222703 0.387311 0.616538 0.945306
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.016866 0.051075 0.114747 0.225429 0.397071 0.637925 0.985402
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.015322 0.048888 0.113027 0.226355 0.404090 0.655502 1.020444
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.015791 0.051225 0.119492 0.240726 0.431520 0.702068 1.095524